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Selim Raihan

Dr Selim Raihan is professor, Department of Economics, University of Dhaka, Bangladesh, and executive director, South Asian Network on Economic Modeling (Sanem). Email: selim.raihan@econdu.ac.bd

Selim-Raihan.jpg

Bangladesh’s external cushion is wearing thin

4 August 2026
Bangladesh’s latest external sector numbers deserve closer scrutiny than the reassuring headline of rising remittances suggests. A closer reading reveals an economy gradually losing one of its traditional sources of resilience: steady inflows of concessional foreign financing.
4 August 2026
reasons behind Bangladesh's low remittance inflow

Opinion / Bangladesh's external cushion is wearing thin

3 August 2026
While remittances continue to support foreign exchange earnings, the simultaneous decline in foreign loan commitments and disbursements, coupled with rising debt repayments, points to a tightening external financing environment
3 August 2026
ED_1_PRIVATE_INVESTMENT.jpg

A trillion-dollar ambition needs a stronger investment climate

29 July 2026
The other day, Prime Minister Tarique Rahman reaffirmed his government’s commitment to transforming Bangladesh into a $1 trillion economy by 2034. While the ambition is welcome, there is a policy puzzle that needs to be encountered
29 July 2026
Bangladesh growth target

A higher growth target without credible reform will remain elusive

20 July 2026
Growth cannot be declared or budgeted into existence; it must be earned through credibility, investment, productivity, and institutional change.
20 July 2026
Bangladesh Exports And Remittance FY26

Exports falter, remittances rise: What does this tell us?

2 July 2026
Exports stood at around $48 billion, down by 0.58 percent from the previous year, despite a sharp June increase. This means the rebound came too late to change the annual picture. It may signal some recovery in orders, delayed shipment adjustments, or short-term buyer confidence. But it does not prove that the export sector has regained strength.
2 July 2026
ED_1__Budget.jpg

Budget reform must start with what's feasible

30 June 2026
Every year, the national budget contains some good initiatives.
30 June 2026
ED_1__Budget.jpg

A budget of promises, pressures, and unanswered questions

13 June 2026
Budgets often reveal more through their tensions than through their promises. The proposed budget for FY2026-27 is no exception.
13 June 2026
ed1-social_safety-file.jpg

The budget must rebuild social protection for a changing economy

4 June 2026
Bangladesh has reached a point where social protection can no longer be treated as a set of small compensatory programmes for the poor.
4 June 2026
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Navigating export vulnerability, strategic response

As the initial three-month pause approached its end, the United States started announcing new reciprocal tariff rates, generally in accordance with the initial rates released in April. While the Donald Trump-led administration has offered a small window for countries to strike a better deal before the tariffs come into effect on August 1, the latest development is bound to introduce new uncertainty into global trade and the economy.
8 July 2025
chattogram-port.jpg

Reciprocal tariff shock: navigating Bangladesh’s export vulnerability and strategic response

The United States' levying a reciprocal tariff of 35 percent on Bangladeshi exports is a harsh economic blow
8 July 2025
Bangladesh Bank allows paying foreign university fees

Banking reform roadmap crucial for stability, confidence

Financial sector's future hinges on effective execution of three-year reform
7 July 2025
Economic reform in Bangladesh

Economic reform in Bangladesh must go beyond incrementalism

Reform shortfalls in key sectors still undermine Bangladesh's ability to cope with domestic economic challenges as well as external shocks.
5 July 2025
How do we avoid a debt trap?

How do we avoid a debt trap?

The debt bubble is ominous, given Bangladesh’s narrow export base and heavy reliance on remittance inflows.
25 June 2025
FY2026 budget: A missed opportunity for structural reform

FY2026 budget: A missed opportunity for structural reform

The proposed budget for 2025-26 fiscal year is at an opportune moment in Bangladesh's economic and political economy.
4 June 2025
remittance earning of Bangladesh

The shadow of a 5% tax: Bangladesh's remittance dilemma

Such a tax would directly eat into the amount that families receive back home, discouraging many from sending remittances via official banking channels
21 May 2025
trade via Akhaura land port to remain suspended

Strained ties: non-tariff barriers and the future of Bangladesh-India trade relations

The non-tariff barriers hurt Bangladesh-India trade, increasing costs and damaging bilateral trust
19 May 2025
macroeconomic challenges

Beyond the split: real tax reform needed to unlock Bangladesh's development

The separation of policy and operational functions is a good step. It reflects international best practices
13 May 2025
Post-LDC strategies for empowering our private sector

Post-LDC strategies for empowering our private sector

The development of private sector capabilities is a prerequisite for securing sustainable economic growth.
6 May 2025
imf_loan.jpg

The bigger picture: leveraging IMF engagement for lasting economic reform

It is worth looking beyond the immediate economic cost of the IMF loan
4 May 2025
BIMSTEC summit 2025

BIMSTEC must adapt to global shifts and future challenges

One major challenge is the escalation of uncertainty, a notable trend in the global trade regime.
29 March 2025
ed_1_-_what_is_impeding_reforms_-_file_visual_anwar_sohel.jpg

What’s blocking the reforms in Bangladesh?

Implementing the desired reforms in Bangladesh is particularly challenging due to the complexities of political and social realities.
17 March 2025
Bangladesh’s economic resilience is being tested

Bangladesh’s economic resilience is being tested

Bangladesh must implement decisive measures to rectify its structural vulnerabilities, governance deficiencies, and external dependencies.
3 March 2025
Trump’s ‘reciprocal tariffs’ and the impending risk for Bangladesh

Trump’s ‘reciprocal tariffs’ and the impending risk for Bangladesh

The global trade environment is becoming increasingly uncertain, and Bangladesh cannot afford to be complacent.
19 February 2025
secularism

In defence of secularism in Bangladesh

Reform proposes "pluralism" over "secularism," but without a framework, it's unworkable.
11 February 2025
Why Bangladesh struggles to attract FDI

Why Bangladesh struggles to attract FDI

Reversing the unsatisfactory FDI trend requires bold, forward-thinking policies and decisive action.
2 February 2025
VAT and tax hikes in Bangladesh

VAT, tax hikes: Short-sighted state policies to hurt people

The recent decisions of the interim government—tax hikes and the suspension of the TCB truck sale programme—clearly reflect the short-sightedness and inconsistency in state policies.
11 January 2025
VAT

VAT, tax hikes: Short-sighted state policies to hurt people

The current high level of inflation has already placed significant financial pressure on the common people, and increasing taxes in this context will create even more strain
10 January 2025
What should be Bangladesh's strategic priorities in 2025?

What should be Bangladesh's strategic priorities in 2025?

The need for objectively assessing the country’s current economic realities cannot be overstated.
2 January 2025

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